Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days

Are YOU Prepared?




October 22, 2005
By Stan Deyo
Home http://standeyo.com


22nd October NCODA ANALYSIS

USA: The Juan de Fuca plate is showing a medium to strong thermal signal that could either indicate a strong seismic event on shore or an unusual weather anomaly. Caution is advised.

New Guinea: tectonic boundary showing medium to large seismic signal. It could indicate a major eruption and or seismic event in the next few days.

New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji, West Samoa and area of sea offshore Northeastern Australia: Entire region is showing an unbelievable series of seismic signals. They are all over known tectonic borders, ridges and fault lines. Something BIG is moving in the SE Ring of Fire today....

Australia: offshore Kangaroo Island now showing medium to strong seismic signal. Also SW of Tasmania in the sea showing small seismic signal.

New Zealand: South Island and Cook Strait showing small to medium seismic signal.

Galapagos Island: Showing medium to strong seismic signal.

Caribbean Sea from Panama to Haiti: Three distinct and small to medium seismic signals  - including two on tectonic plate boundaries.
                                    
Tunisia: Medium seismic signal.

Northern Italy: One small seismic signal - on a tectonic plate border.

Southern tip of Madagascar: Showing medium seismic signal.

Western Arabian Sea: Medium seismic signal on a tectonic border.

Northwestern Arabian Sea, Gulf of Oman and southwestern Iran showing small to medium seismic signal.

Summary:
The Juan de Fuca alert may just be weather but it is part of at least five days of stress signals moving up the west coast from the Baja.... and it is on tectonic plate boundaries.

The Australian tectonic plate is very active and a matter of concern in all the areas I have marked for the last week. Several tectonic plate borders in that area are showing stress.

Galapagos Island is showing stress on three tectonic plate boundaries.

In the Caribbean sea, two tectonic plate borders are also showing stress.

In northern Italy, a small seismic signal on a tectonic plate border.

In the Arabian Sea a tectonic plate border is under stress.

Seeing so many tectonic plate stresses indicates something REALLY BIG is in progress over the entire surface of Earth. I don't know how long this may continue but it is something we should all watch closely and for which we should start making emergency preparations....

-Stan Deyo

For an explanation of how these maps are produced, please see this area.


Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.

NEW FEATURE: The circles in varying shades of red are quake prediction zones Stan made from 1 to 4 days ago - with dark red being 1 day ago and the lightest red being 4 days ago. White circles are Stan's prediction zones for today. Tomorrow these white circles will become dark red and will get lighter as each day passes until they are removed.

These circles indicate the stresses in an area and warn of a probable quake in an area. The areas do not always convert to a quake. When a quake does occur and has been in or fairly close to the outer radius of a circle I have drawn over a given fault zone area then it is counted as a "hit". When stress signals go into a large land mass I have to estimate the radius of the circle and the vector to the nearest major fault on the land mass.

DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).

Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.

Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.



Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.